Caribbean countries have been warned that the rainfall over the next three months may be “drier than usual” in some islands resulting in a progressively increase in wild fires.

The Barbados-based Caribbean Climate Outlook Forum (CariCOF) in its latest Caribbean Climate Outlooks released recently, said with weak El Niño conditions forecast to persist, chances of drought and recurrent dry spells in the second half of the dry season are increased, and heatwaves will start occurring locally into May.

With that said, region-wide, extreme drought and extreme heat are unlikely.

The frequency of wet days and wet spells should be low during March and April, but increase towards the end of May; the chance for extreme wet spells tends to re-emerge in April or May, with some concern for flash flood and flooding potential arising then.”

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